How government policy is wrecking South Africa’s commodity market
The performance of commodity-driven economies is more influenced by policy than the commodity pricing cycle.This was heard during a panel discussion on the repricing of African commodities, at Deloitte’s Africa 2017 Outlook conference, held in Woodmead on Wednesday.Mining industry representatives on the panel discussed the role of policy in shaping the economy’s performance. “You can’t get policy change without regime change,” said Peter Major, head of mining at Cadiz Corporate Solutions.Using the example of Chile, following regime or policy changes, the country went from producing 600,000 tons of copper in the 1970s to 6 million tonnes in production after. “The wrong regime changes happened in the DRC and Zambia and they went from having 600,000 tonnes to less than 100,000 tonnes,” Major said.“We [South Africa] have not had a policy change since 1994. Policy continues to push production down,” he said. The implications of policy must be considered. Given existing legisla...